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How Gold Prices Are Determined Globally and in India

Introduction

Gold is one of the oldest and most trusted assets in human history. Whether you’re buying jewellery in India or trading gold futures on an exchange understanding how gold prices are determined is crucial.

In this blog weโ€™ll break down the key global and local factors that influence gold pricing so you can make more informed investment and purchase decisions.


๐Ÿ” Who Sets the Gold Price

Gold prices are influenced by both international benchmarks and local market dynamics. Here’s how it works:


1 International Gold Price Benchmarks

Globally gold is traded in US dollars per ounce. The two major global benchmarks are:

  • London Bullion Market Association (LBMA)
    Twice a day the LBMA sets the London Fix, which is a global reference price for gold. This is influenced by large banks and bullion traders.

  • Futures Markets like COMEX
    Gold futures are traded on platforms such as COMEX in the US. Prices here change by the second and reflect global investor sentiment.

๐Ÿ“ฐ Learn more from LBMA
๐Ÿ“ฐ Gold Futures on CME Group


2 Currency Movements Especially the US Dollar

Since gold is priced in USD, any fluctuation in the dollar directly impacts gold rates:

  • A strong dollar makes gold more expensive in other currencies โ†’ price drop
  • A weak dollar boosts demand for gold globally โ†’ price rise

This is one reason why Indian gold prices also react to changes in the US economy.


3 Global Demand and Supply determinedย 

Like any commodity, supply and demand dynamics matter:

  • When demand increases (due to economic uncertainty, festivals, or central bank buying), prices rise
  • If supply increases (through mining or scrap gold), or demand drops, prices fall

๐Ÿ“ฐ World Gold Council demand trends


4 Inflation and Interest Rates

Gold is often seen as a hedge against inflation. When inflation rises or real interest rates fall, people flock to gold, pushing prices up.

Example: In 2023โ€“2025, global inflation fears and low interest rates drove gold prices to record highs.


๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ How Gold Prices Are Determined in India

Gold prices in India are not just influenced by international markets. Here’s what adds to the cost:

1 Currency Exchange Rate

Gold is imported into India. If the Indian Rupee weakens against the dollar, gold becomes more expensive even if global prices remain steady.

2 Import Duties and Taxes

As of 2025, India levies:

  • 12.5 percent basic customs duty
  • 2.5 percent agriculture infrastructure cess
  • 3 percent GST

These taxes significantly increase the final retail gold price.

3 Local Demand and Supply

During weddings or festivals like Akshaya Tritiya and Diwali, demand spikes, influencing prices locally. In off-season months prices may dip slightly.

Check our festival gold buying guide for more.

4 Jeweller Premiums determined

Jewellers add their own premium, which varies by brand, purity, and region. This is why gold rates in Delhi may differ from Chennai.

See our gold price comparison by city.


๐Ÿ“Š Summary Table

Factor Impact on Price
USD INR exchange rate Higher INR = lower gold price in India
Global gold futures Affects base market price
Indian import duties Adds cost over global price
Seasonal demand Local demand pushes prices up
Inflation and interest rates Push global investors toward gold

Why It Matters determined

Understanding how gold prices are set helps you:

  • Avoid overpaying when buying jewellery
  • Time your investments better
  • Understand market risks and opportunities

Explore our gold investment for beginners to learn more.


Conclusion determined

Gold prices are determined by a mix of global market forces and local policies. From international benchmarks and dollar strength to Indian taxes and seasonal demand all of it plays a role in the price you see on the jewellerโ€™s board.

Keep track of global trends and Indian regulations if you want to make the most of your gold purchases or investments.


๐Ÿ”— External Resources for Deeper Learning


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